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I'm going to make a prediction that Mitt Romney will not win the Republican presidential nomination. We can look no further than to Hillary Clinton's campaign to see why.
Hillary Clinton was the presumed Democratic nominee until someone named Barack Obama came along and, using a bit of deft planning, knocked her off her dais. Mitt Romney will not lose the nomination for the same reasons Hillary Clinton did, but the result will be the same.
Mitt has three things working against him:
1. He signed Romneycare into law in Taxachusetts. Investor's Business Daily wrote:
Health costs have gone up in the
significantly since Romney's overhaul, and polls show residents believe RomneyCare is the reason. The uninsured still number over 100,000, despite his promise of "universal coverage." And hundreds of thousands among the newly insured pay nothing for their state-mandated coverage, freeloading off those who do. Bay State
RomneyCare's mandates, enforced by a new, multipronged state government bureaucracy, resulted in another negative consequence, which anyone who knows the law of supply and demand could have predicted: a physician shortage that has caused European-style waiting lists for doctor visits. That, in turn, has led to lots more emergency room visits, another cause of cost increases. And so goes the vicious cycle.
There is no way Romney will ever get this albatross off from around his neck. How can he take the high road when he enacted something as evil as Obamacare?
Fiscal conservatives will not support Romney. I will not support him.
2. Mitt Romney has said he believes in man made global warming. Romney said this:
I don’t speak for the scientific community, of course, but I believe the world’s getting warmer. I can’t prove that, but I believe based on what I read that the world is getting warmer. And number two, I believe that humans contribute to that. I don’t know how much our contribution is to that, because I know that there have been periods of greater heat and warmth in the past but I believe we contribute to that.So Romney isn't a scientist, can't speak for them, but he read a few articles that said the world is getting warmer and he believes it. Romney hedges by saying who knows what can be done about it but isn't this just a way of leaving the door open for a later retraction? We all know Obama and his cronies have used global warming as justification to empower the EPA to regulate the stuff everybody exhales - Carbon Dioxide - as a pollutant and to try and pass Cap and Trade to take money away from Americans to use on Obamacare.
Again, Romney makes no friends and sounds like he doesn't know what he's talking about.
3. Romney is a Mormon. I have nothing against Mormons but many Americans are suspicious of them because they believe they don't believe Jesus Christ is the Son of God. Romney knows this is a problem to the extent he casts himself more as a CEO than as a man of the cloth. I don't think Romney would push his religion on people but if there's one thing Americans love it's a conspiracy theory.
Sure, many think Obama is a Mulsim but he's half black so this made him more exciting to the press and Americans who wanted to see a non-white male become president. Romney doesn't have this type of thing going for him and he's a Conservative so, naturally, the press will come down (unfairly) doubly hard on him. Expect to see a lot of pieces on polygamy and Mormonism. Not that there's anything wrong with that...
I think the biggest threat to Romney's nomination is Texas governor Rick Perry. He has led his state towards job creation and has stood up against the Obama administration regarding their encroachment on economic and personal liberty. Perry might have his own issues.
Lastly, Romney, like Clinton, is the early front runner and this is never a good thing. Every other candidate is drafting behind him while he is taking all the rock chips and bugs in his face.
Romney seems like a decent man but his past decisions, as well as his early front runner status, means he's doomed.