Monday, July 8, 2013

WTF Egypt?

As much as I hate to bring down the cute 4th of July pin-up, we must move on.  Let's talk about
Egypt.

First, I think that the overthrow of Morsi was a good thing, but of course it is a terrible double-edged sword.  On one hand, the Muslim Brotherhood puppet needed to go, but on the other hand, what is to stop the military from throwing out anyone that they deem unworthy?

Should the military of a nation ever take it upon itself to be the ultimate judge of who gets to stay in political office?  Here in America, I think most of us would answer "no," but that's because we have the luxury of knowing that our elections will happen and that generally, the people's choice will be in office.

We also know that here in America, a small minority will never hold absolute power over the majority as was the case with much of the Brotherhood being elected to key offices in the new Egyptian government.  Considering that there were millions in protest against Morsi, and only a few thousand in protest to Morsi's ousting, that leads me to believe that those who support a hard-line Islamic state in Egypt are very much in the minority.

These scenarios are especially uncomfortable, because I can't think of many military overthrows that ended well, i.e. the military leaders acting out of pure altruistic benevolence and handing over power through real, democratic elections.  Generally, once there is a military overthrow, you can count on the leaders installing themselves as dictators, and there is plenty of historical precedent for that.

From what we've seen, however, the Egyptian military leaders seem to genuinely want a democratic government, and they are giving every indication that they intend to transfer power appropriately.  I think many of us will believe it only when we see it.  It's hard to imagine a military overthrow that doesn't end in dictatorship in any nation of the world, but it's even more difficult to imagine such a thing in a Middle Eastern/North African country with a history of civil unrest and turmoil.

We'll just have to wait and see.  My hope against hope is that the Egyptian military surprises us all and becomes the first military overthrow in the 21st century that doesn't end up in dictatorship.  I also hope that the Muslim Brotherhood doesn't find another way to sink its claws into their government so that Egypt can be led into an era of secular government.  Secular government is something that is sorely needed in the ME/NA region.

Please share your thoughts.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

hahaha... Jackie...

Secular Government?

You owe me a dr. pepper and a keyboard.

Comedic Gold.

Micky said...

The whole Middle East is at whats at play here.
Egypts military could very well be on the up and up and want nothing more than a leader/government that allows a more secular society.
And I have no doubt they could facilitate that.
But... theres a multitude of problems needed to be dealt with in the entire region before any Middle Eastern state will se some semblance of a democratic secular state.
America performed a military coup on Iraq, gave them free democratic elections, and theres still 3 or four groups fighting in the streets and jockeying for power.
True, our own independence and Constitution didnt come overnight, but our rebels and founders were of the same basic vision knowing not just what they "didnt want
" but also what they believed freedom truly meant even though those parameters were based on Judeo Christianity.
With that moral compass they still made sure that we would have freedom from and of religion.
The Middle East ?
I see no hope of them ever getting away from dictatorial theological regimes.
The Koran is the Constitution in most every Middle Eastern nation.
The culture prohibits the thought that religion and government can co-exist as separate entities.
Until they understand this concept nothing is ever going to change.
But, it will change, and its going to be ugly, it will get worse before better.
And I promise you, Israel will become the catalyst pawn for it all.